Knoxville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Knoxville TN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles ESE Knoxville TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Morristown, TN |
Updated: 3:25 am EDT Apr 25, 2025 |
|
Overnight
 Slight Chance T-storms and Patchy Fog
|
Friday
 Showers Likely and Patchy Fog
|
Friday Night
 Showers then Chance T-storms
|
Saturday
 Showers Likely
|
Saturday Night
 Chance Showers then Partly Cloudy
|
Sunday
 Mostly Sunny
|
Sunday Night
 Partly Cloudy
|
Monday
 Slight Chance Showers
|
Monday Night
 Partly Cloudy
|
Lo 58 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 72 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
|
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Dense Fog Advisory
Overnight
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind. |
Friday
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday Night
|
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 11pm and 5am. Low around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind around 5 mph. |
Sunday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 5 mph. |
Sunday Night
|
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Calm wind. |
Monday
|
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. |
Monday Night
|
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. |
Tuesday
|
Partly sunny, with a high near 84. |
Tuesday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Wednesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. |
Wednesday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. |
Thursday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles ESE Knoxville TN.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
758
FXUS64 KMRX 250723
AFDMRX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
323 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 217 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025
Key Messages:
1. Fog is becoming an issue mainly in the Southern and Central
Tennessee Valley. A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued there until
9 AM EDT.
2. Shower activity will pick up again in the morning hours.
3. Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon and evening. A few strong storms will be possible.
Localized flooding will be possible again.
Discussion:
With abundant low level moisture, fog has developed in the
Southern and Central Tennessee Valley. Several ASOS observations
are reporting 1/4 mile visibility. A Dense Fog Advisory has been
issued until 9 AM EDT for most of the Valley counties. With calm
winds and a lull in the showers, dense fog will likely persist
through daybreak.
Shower activity will increase in the morning hours but may start
out more isolated through the morning hours. Activity will become
more scattered in the afternoon hours becoming widespread in the
late afternoon and evening as a shortwave trough approaches.
Instability will be around 1000 to 1500 J/kg by late afternoon.
Wind shear will be weak around 20 knots. HRRR guidance has a
strong line of storms but the other CAMs have weaker scattered
storms. A few strong, maybe even severe storms will be possible.
Some localized flooding will be possible but widespread flooding
is not expected with storms expected to move faster today. Will
still have to watch for training.
Isolated showers are expected tonight as the shortwave moves
through the region and a cold front nears. Fog may be an issue
again tonight with cold front passage not expected until Saturday.
Mild temps today and tonight with lingering cloud cover.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 217 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025
Key Messages:
1. More isolated showers and thunderstorms on Saturday as cold front
sweeps the area. Very low chance for a strong thunderstorm.
2. Seasonable and dry on Sunday, warmer beginning Monday and
continuing thereafter.
3. Low chance for diurnal precipitation early next week, higher
chances Wednesday and onwards.
Discussion:
Cold front on Saturday should sweep through much of the area, with
not much in the way of cold air behind it. HRRR/NAM soundings
indicate 1000J of CAPE Saturday afternoon just ahead of the better
advection of a drier continental airmass. As a result, the two CAMs
convect small showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the northern half
of Tennessee before moving the cells into western North Carolina.
Nothing too interesting between the unsatisfactory lapse rates and
the low end shear, but a wide enough updraft may fuel a thunderstorm
with small hail and gusty winds.
Sunday, fully behind the cold front, should be a great day with dry
weather and seasonably average temperatures. As we head into next
week, the midlevel ridge axis builds right across the Appalachians,
and with southwesterly return flow with a cyclone out over the Great
Plains, we`ll rebound back to temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above
normal. Monday and Tuesday look more diurnally influenced as far as
potential for terrain driven convection, with the jet stream still
quite far to our west. As the ridge axis moves eastwards, a series
of shortwaves will eventually push a deepening trough into the area,
providing increasing forcing for a new round of daily showers and
storms, starting midweek next week and continuing through the end of
the period. As of right now there`s no significant weather concerns,
outside of a low risk for a strong thunderstorm on any day with
convection potential given enough CAPE to fuel growth. Most
locations will see a break in the rain coverage, at least for a
couple of days, before the next round of activity late next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025
LIFR CIGs and vis will be possible mainly at TYS and CHA through
the early morning hours. Scattered showers and MVFR conditions are
likely mid to late morning. Thunderstorms are likely in the late
afternoon and evening hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN 77 62 80 57 / 90 50 50 0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 75 61 76 53 / 90 70 80 10
Oak Ridge, TN 75 61 77 52 / 90 70 80 10
Tri Cities Airport, TN 73 59 72 45 / 90 70 90 10
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for Anderson-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-East Polk-Hamilton-Knox-
Loudon-McMinn-Meigs-North Sevier-Northwest Blount-Northwest
Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
West Polk.
VA...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...McD
LONG TERM....Wellington
AVIATION...McD
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|